A little known fact about Kingfishers is, when they dive into water, they close their eyes, fishing blind! Additionally, their beak design is so aerodynamic many Japanese bullet trains are modelled to copy it! However, Kingfisher (KGF) – the company – is another matter…
A little known fact about Kingfisher PLC is their uptrend since 2008 currently is lurking at roughly 296.931p.
In addition, the immediate state of affairs suggests weakness below 304p (currently trading around 308p) should bring reversal toward 296.8p, therefore running the risk of the share price closing below the long term uptrend.
To get real, common sense suggests a bounce is probably awaiting at red on the chart as we shall not risk closing our eyes and suggesting the worst unless the share actually does close below red. An event like this would be truly bad, opening the price to reversal toward 233p initially with secondary, if broken, at 130p.
Doubtless, a constant supply of negative news would be required to make such miserable sounding drop potentials a reality.
The immediate situation with KGF is the price requires above 346p just to escape the downtrend since February and indicate drop forces are easing.
Thus, if it actually does bounce from the 296p level, above 346p should bring an initial 360p with secondary 381p. Unfortunately, similar to expecting a special offer from B&Q’s website to actually be available in their stores, we’re not holding out much hope for this. Events with other shares have tended to produce 10-15% rebounds from trends only.
Perhaps it is worth watching for a near term long position with a blooming tight stop!
Source: interactive investor Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and “top secret” software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know “how it worked” with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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