UK Oil & Gas (LSE:UKOG)
Launching directly into “boring” probably isn’t the best way to start a riveting report. Alas, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has displayed one of these charty things which always bears some scrutiny, the often ignored and derided “Flying Monkey” pattern.
Okay, it was clickbait. There’s no such pattern – to our knowledge – but it doesn’t avoid an interesting potential making itself known with recent price movements.
Firstly, though, there is a tiny little issue worth mentioning against this share and the “shark” cartoon gives a pretty evident clue.
When the price of UKOG moved below 1.6p, it entered territory where we cannot calculate any realistic bottom. We’re inclined to some hope though, simply due to the price failing to collapse further. Instead, it’s swimming in circles just below the 1.6p level.
Our interest was piqued due to two features. The fact it’s still trading appears to be useful and, there’s the blue line on the chart. We regard manipulation gaps on share prices (circled) as defining new trends commencing. Therefore, if it’s a downtrend we paint a blue line through the highs following the gap. Or if an uptrend, we paint through the lows.
In the case of UKOG, the visuals indicate the price is indeed reacting to the trend and thus, price movements bettering blue – around 1.6p – suggest coming movement to a fairly useless 1.8p. In the event 1.8p is bettered, we’d hope for some further recovery to 2.2p at which point we shall need run the numbers again. The “issue” is, above 2.2p and the price sends a signal bottom is in and thus, further growth becomes probable.
For now though, it’s trading in a range where we cannot calculate a bottom. But we can use our shark icon!
Source: interactive investor Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and “top secret” software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know “how it worked” with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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